Friday links: Encryption apps, publishing, cash money matters, prosecutors and prostitutes, and more

* Wire: A modern, encrypted communication app. It’s alleged not to have Skype’s backdoors.

* The origin of QWERTY keyboards, which are widely misunderstood. I’m still using a Kinesis Advantage.

* “Handful of Biologists Went Rogue and Published Directly to Internet.” This should really not be shocking or newsworthy in 2016. That it is, is shocking and newsworthy.

* “After Cash: All Fun and Games Until Somebody Loses a Bank Account.” The drive towards cashless societies baffles me, since it further concentrates an enormous amount of power in the hands of unaccountable, indifferent, power-mad bureaucrats.

* “United Launch Alliance (ULA) executive admits company cannot compete with SpaceX on launch costs,” an amazing story.

* Tyler Cowen on * The Curious Connection between Violent Extremism and Education. Note that Diego Gambetta, one of the co-authors, also wrote the excellent Codes of the Underworld, discussed by me at the link in 2010.

* “Prosecutor known for fighting prostitution charged with paying for sex hundreds of times;” the phrase “victimless crime” comes to mind.

* Good news (well, the bringing-killers-to-justice part is good, the death part is not): “A toddler got meningitis. His anti-vac parents gave him an herbal remedy. The toddler died. Now his parents are on trial.”

* How Valley of the Dolls went from a reject to a 30-million best-seller.

Links: Old people vote, three-party systems, Facebook dangers, academic norms, marijuana, and more!

* “The boomer supremacy: The dominance of baby boomers is becoming total,” although I think “old people vote” matters most here.

* The three party system:

There are three major political forces in contemporary politics in developed countries: tribalism, neoliberalism and leftism (defined in more detail below). Until recently, the party system involved competition between different versions of neoliberalism. Since the Global Financial Crisis, neoliberals have remained in power almost everywhere, but can no longer command the electoral support needed to marginalise both tribalists and leftists at the same time. So, we are seeing the emergence of a three-party system, which is inherently unstable because of the Condorcet problem and for other reasons.

I don’t buy the entire analysis, but the ideas are excellent.

* It’s not smart to post lots of shit to Facebook.

* The Second Avenue Subway is actually happening. Slowly, oh so slowly, but happening.

* Mathematician Timothy Gowers is bent on proving academic journals can and should cost nothing. This ought to be obvious by now.

* “Laura Wasser Is Hollywood’s Complete Divorce Solution,” hilarious (and depressing) throughout, with the real takeaway hidden at the end:

Wasser never remarried. Instead, she prefers long-term, live-in boyfriends. She’s no longer with either of her sons’ fathers, with whom she shares verbal custody agreements that she’s never felt the need to put on paper. “Is it a little bit of the cobbler’s son not wearing shoes? Maybe,” she says. “But I don’t want to get married. I don’t like the idea of entering into that contract.”

This is becoming the new normal, though laws and norms haven’t caught up.

* “Can NATO and the EU survive Donald Trump, French nationalists, and a Brexit?” A much scarier article than I imagined reading. We are our own worst enemies.

* Why public sector unions are poisonous; one can only hope that the Supreme Court limits this kind of folly in the future.

* “It’s time to give up the fight against grade inflation.” See also me, “What incentivizes professors to grade honestly? Nothing.”

* Amazing:

And it’s not just price — Mexican growers are facing pressure on quality, too. “The quality of marijuana produced in Mexico and the Caribbean is thought to be inferior to the marijuana produced domestically in the United States or in Canada,” the DEA wrote last year in its 2015 National Drug Threat Assessment. “Law enforcement reporting indicates that Mexican cartels are attempting to produce higher-quality marijuana to keep up with U.S. demand.”

Links: Teenager hysteria, political mess ups, electric cars, The Anthropology of Childhood, and more!

* “Lives of the Selfie-Centered: What do teenagers use their phones for? Bonding, backbiting, bullying—and texting naked pictures. Lots and lots of naked pictures” and “Open Secrets: The social media–obsessed teens of Nancy Jo Sales’ American Girls never quite come into focus;” both concern American Girls: Social Media and the Secret Lives of Teenagers, a book likely better read about than read. My Dad sent me the first link and observed that, many moons ago when he was a teenager, the scary, virtue-threatening image technology was the Polaroid, which was seen as a danger of virtue and an inflater of vanity in the same way iPhones and Instagram are seen today. I’m just old enough to remember the earthquake that was the first sub-$1,000 DSLR and having conversations with the first guys who bought them; their usual plans for the new purchase were  described as being along the lines of, “I wanna take naked pictures of chicks, man” (I don’t think teenagers have become dramatically less articulate or thoughtful in recent times, and most of my friends who were either subject or photographer are now boringly employed like the rest of us).

In short, today’s OMG WTF BBQ Instragram and Snapchat kids will in fifteen years time be doing the usual things 30 years old do. By the way, when Intel was founded its oldest employee was 29.

* “The top 10 reasons American politics are so broken,” from Jonathan Haidt of The Righteous Mind fame, an excellent piece. And: Democrats appear to not be insane, though the title is different.

* “Here’s How Electric Cars Will Cause the Next Oil Crisis;” one hopes so! And: “The rechargeable revolution: A better battery: Chemists are reinventing rechargeable cells to drive down costs and boost capacity.”

* “There is a better way to parent than the nuclear family” should be obvious; see also The Anthropology of Childhood.

* Why America abandoned nuclear power (and what we can learn from South Korea); could also be titled, “How to reduce the cost of nuclear power.”

* Seattle’s big new transit plans.

* Kofi Annan on why it’s time to legalize drugs.

Universities treat adjuncts like they do because they can

There Is No Excuse for How Universities Treat Adjuncts: Students are paying higher tuition than ever. Why can’t more of that revenue go to the people teaching them?” is well-summarized by its headline, but there is a very good “excuse” why universities treat adjuncts how they do: because they can. When people stop signing up for grad school and/or to be adjuncts, universities will have to offer better pay and/or conditions. Until that happens, universities won’t.

Markets are clearing.

“There Is No Excuse” keeps popping up in my inbox or in discussion sites, and commenters typically decry administrators (which is fine with me, although I’m not sure they’re the fundamental driver of cost) and promote unions. On unions in universities I don’t have strong opinions; there may be some benefits to the people who get into the union on the ground floor, but raising the pay of some adjuncts will result in shortages of any work for others.

If the market-clearing price is $3,000 per class, and universities have to pay $5,000, there’ll be a large pool of people who can’t get those higher wages because there aren’t a sufficient number of jobs out there for them. So one can trade plentiful but somewhat poorly remunerative jobs for a smaller number of somewhat more remunerative jobs for those who grab them. Supply of adjuncts also seems to change rapidly depending on economic conditions, with the supply contracting when the economy is strong and rapidly expanding when the economy is weak; I’d be curious about empirical work on the elasticities.

If unions become pervasive, universities will also be somewhat less reluctant to hire anyone, because those people who are hired won’t leave—which is already a problem with the tenure system. In the late ’80s and early ’90s, a series of court cases eliminated mandatory retirement policies. Those rulings, combined with lengthening life expectancy, mean that tenured faculty could stay on indefinitely—blocking the path forward for younger academics. Which leads to the explosion of adjuncts presently being decried in the media. Unions (usually) prevent their members from being fired, and, if lay-offs do happen, they happen on a “first-in, first-out” basis. So the youngest and freshest workers will be axed first.

Still, I find the rhetoric of faculty who argue that the job of grad students is to be students hilarious; at the University of Arizona, grad students in English taught the same number of classes for the same number of hours as full-time faculty. Grad students, like medical residents, are workers, regardless of what else they’re called.

It’s also worth contemplating alternatives to academia, which has lots of barriers to entry, formal credentials, and unspoken rules. Marginal product of labor for academics is hard to measure. by contrast, technology employment works well in part because there are close to zero barriers to entry. Someone who wants to learn to code can type “Learn to code” in Google and start. Unions will make the existing barriers to academia higher, and will leave it less like the healthier parts of the economy.

Academics are not exempt from the law of supply and demand, and it turns out that tenured academics are savvy marketers, singing a song of the life of the mind to the unwary who throw themselves onto the shore of a barren island. Supposedly smart people seem to be doing a lot of not-so-smart things.

I personally like teaching as an adjunct because the jobs are plentiful, the hours are flexible, and the work is quite different from what I usually do. On a dollars-per-hour basis the pay is much worse than grant writing, but the work itself is sometimes gratifying, and one gets the usual and much-discussed pleasures of teaching (the joy of young minds, etc.). The online conversation around adjuncts is dominated by people who teach at five different schools and have neither time nor money. Like any job it is not perfect. I do it for the same reason everyone, everywhere, works any job: it beats the alternatives.

Links: Rejecting the feminist label, freedom, fusion, reviewing the world, prison life, and more!

* “Why millennial women don’t want to call themselves feminists.” I think the second reason the most plausible answer. (Hat tip Michael Curry.)

* “Why GNU Emacs?” (I don’t use Emacs, though I have installed it at various points and then run away, to easier, friendlier text editors.)

* New finding may explain heat loss in fusion reactors.

* The headline is too polite, but: Left-Leaning Economists Question Cost of Bernie Sanders’s Plans.

* “What Expanded Light Rail Means for Seattle: With new stations opening in March, the city takes a crucial step toward a much-needed transit overhaul.”

* I don’t know if this story is on the level, but: “How schools around the country are turning dead Microsoft PCs into speedy Chromebooks.” See also our post on Geek Heresy and how technology is not going to magically save schools.

* “One Man’s Impossible Quest to Read—and Review—the World.”

* “Risky sex [writing],” though oddly it doesn’t mention The Joy of Writing Sex: A Guide for Fiction Writers, which is pretty good but a smidge too politically correct. Still, overall “Risky Sex” is excellent and is just the right amount of funny.

* Craig Mod on the Leica Q; I’m skeptical and think the Sony RX1R or Fuji X100T are much, much better (and cheaper!).

* Scientists are floored by what’s happening in the Arctic right now.

* The rule of law enforcement, or, a journalist’s diaries / reporting from prison.

Links: Humanities papers, recycling, teachers, death, housing, sexuality and society, and more!

* 82% of humanities papers are never cited by another paper (pdf), which is another datum of evidence about the importance of what most humanities professors are doing.

* Inside the English Prose Factory. It is… not very pleasant.

* “Is it time to rethink recycling? If our current approach to recycling isn’t the best for the economy or the environment, why do we do it?” The short answer is, “signalling.” Recycling small items, like carrying re-usable bags to grocery stories, is a low-cost way of appearing to be environmentally conscious without having to do anything significant. I’ve had innumerable conversations with superficial environmentalists who are determined that every bottle go in the right bin, even as they discuss their last trip to South America and their next trip from one coast to the next. Flying is really, spectacularly bad for the environment, but most putative environmentalists are also in love with the idea of “travel” and “broadening horizons.” Still, to point out this dichotomy is to signal something negative about the person making the observation, so you should probably keep this to yourself, unless you are an anti-social person.

* Stop humiliating teachers.

* “How Yahoo killed Flickr and lost the Internet,” a story I didn’t know, or didn’t know at this level of detail.

* “The poor are better off when we build more housing for the rich,” an underappreciated point—but when most people talk about affordable housing, they’re actually trying to signal how much they care, rather than actually understanding and then solving the problem.

* William Gibson: How I Wrote Neuromancer.

* “The Sexual Misery of the Arab World,” an underappreciated point.

* “Should you learn to program? Yes,” by Derek Sivers.

* The dubious effectiveness of D.A.R.E. and problems in nonprofits.

Links: Casper, space, banned by Tesla, institutions, publishing, solar, and more!

* How Casper Made $1 Million Selling Mattresses in Its First 28 Days.

* “Here’s What We’ll Do in Space by 2116.” We hope!

* Banned by Tesla: a very bad sign for the company.

* “The unsexy truth about why the Arab Spring failed:” the failure of institutions.

* “The Unlikely Writer: Atul Gawande, ‘slightly bewildered’ surgeon and health-policy scholar—and a literary voice of medicine.” A beautiful piece. Note the role of work. I have an increasing allergy to people who say they are “bad” at writing or math.

* There is almost no diversity in the publishing industry. It’s almost entirely composed of white women. Some of the signaling words in the story are annoying but can be ignored.

* “From liquid air to supercapacitors, energy storage is finally poised for a breakthrough.” An important story. Also: “Welsh home installs UK’s first Tesla Powerwall storage battery.”

* “Unobtainium: The Elements of Power: Gadgets, Guns, and the Struggle for a Sustainable Future in the Rare Metal Age.”

* Solar + Storage, another key piece in the energy infrastructure puzzle.

Links: Book smell, writers and money, the dream factory, victimhood culture, and more!

* The chemistry of book smell.

* How does how writers make money affect what writers write?

* “Betrayed by the Dream Factory: My life and career have been scarred by the naïve exchange I made at college: an education of questionable value for a dangerous amount of debt.” I saw this happen to peers in law school in particular. Large swaths of higher education have become extraordinarily vicious and extractive.

* “Musk vs. Buffett: The Billionaire Battle to Own the Sun: Warren Buffett controls Nevada’s legacy utility. Elon Musk is behind the solar company that’s upending the market. Let the fun begin.”

* Joe’s experience of victimhood culture in SF’s tech industry.

* “The Fire Last Time: Bronze Age apocalypse.” A dark story I didn’t know.

* “Trump, Sanders and the Revolt Against Decadence,” or, as Tyler Cowen puts it, “Douthat on whether Trump and Sanders are a response to the great stagnation and loss of faith in the future”

* “A Tesla in Every Garage? Not So Fast.” Note that this is from an engineering professional association and is written by a historian. The headline is slightly deceptive (“battery electric vehicles represent a more thorough upsetting of the existing order of things than Musk and his acolytes might like to admit” appears in the body) but the discussion is excellent.

The race to the bottom of victimhood and “social justice” culture

In “A Different Kind of Diversity Fear” Matthew Reed writes of a junior professor who

mentioned that many faculty of his age group get really quiet when diversity comes up because they’re afraid that in saying something inadvertently off-key, they’ll get tagged as anti-diversity. Rather than take the chance, they simply wait for the subject to change.

I’ve witnessed similar things in schools where I’ve taught, and this is happening because the diversity coalition is, weirdly, eating its own supporters. At Seliger + Associates we see related challenges in grant writing and wrote about a particular instance in “Cultural Sensitivity, Cultural Insensitivity, and the ‘Big Bootie’ Problem in Grant Writing.” The story at the link is hilarious and demonstrates the dangers of saying almost anything about diversity or related matters, since the line between cultural sensitivity and cultural insensitivity barely exists and moves constantly, without warning.

It’s virtually impossible for people, even well-meaning people sympathetic to the social justice worldview, to know whether they’re saying the right thing or the wrong thing about diversity, inclusion, or related matters. Inadvertently saying the wrong thing means being accused of insensitivity—or worse (Scott Alexander touches similar themes in “Radicalizing the Romanceless“). People who are actively trying to be sensitive can’t predict whether they’ll be accused of being insensitive.

Jonathan Haidt has also written about the dangers of victim culture, in “Where microaggressions really come from: A sociological account” and “The Yale Problem Begins in High School:”

Their high schools have thoroughly socialized them into what sociologists call victimhood culture, which weakens students by turning them into “moral dependents” who cannot deal with problems on their own. They must get adult authorities to validate their victim status.

Victimhood culture has also taken root in universities. It isn’t a purely left-wing phenomenon anymore, either: right-wing students can also take on the mantle of oppression, especially in a university context when right-wing students are the minority. In the United States, can a religious Christian be a victim? What about Saudi Arabia or Pakistan? That line of thinking, and the competition to be the bigger victim, can lead to a race to the bottom over who is a victim and who isn’t.

From a professor’s point of view, it takes only one well-meaning but inadvertent comment to end up pilloried. As noted previously, the likely reception of the comment is unknowable, while the accusation can be almost as damning as conviction. In that environment, the optimal solution for someone who values their job is the one Reed’s prof came up with: silence.

Silence around important issues is probably bad, but one doesn’t need elaborate game theory to see why it happens. There is no defense against insensitivity or “triggering.” In “The Coddling of the American Mind,” Greg Lukianoff and Haidt write:

Because there is a broad ban in academic circles on “blaming the victim,” it is generally considered unacceptable to question the reasonableness (let alone the sincerity) of someone’s emotional state, particularly if those emotions are linked to one’s group identity. The thin argument “I’m offended” becomes an unbeatable trump card. This leads to what Jonathan Rauch, a contributing editor at this magazine, calls the “offendedness sweepstakes,” in which opposing parties use claims of offense as cudgels. In the process, the bar for what we consider unacceptable speech is lowered further and further.

I’ve seen the offendedness sweepstakes play out in classrooms. It’s ugly. It’s also impossible to adjudicate different people’s different levels of offendedness because there’s no real standard to compare one person’s level of offense to another’s. I can tell whether a paper is poorly written or well written or whether an argument is well-researched or poorly researched, but I can’t tell whether student x has a better “claim” to victimhood than student y.

The obvious counter to perpetual offendedness is that living in the world requires some level of fortitude and resilience. The flipside to that, however, is that people (including professors) can use “fortitude and resilience” as excuses for being jerks or being deliberately provocative in a non-productive manner.

Still, the current academic climate seems to have swung too far towards the offendedness sweepstakes and too far from fortitude and resilience. But we’re unlikely to see a fortitude coalition form, and even attempting to do such a thing risks the “insensitive” label. So we get more and more offense and less thought.

Outside of academia and some media circles none of this matters.

Links: The vile mattress industry, urban change, the ideal marriage, reality, and more!

* Why online mattress companies proliferate; the title is mind because the title of the original is too stupid to repeat.

* “The Heroes of CRISPR,” an incredible story novelistic in detail.

* “60 Years of Urban Change,” or, as Paul Graham put it, “Rather terrifying before and after aerial views of US cities.” The cost of highways is still today underappreciated.

* “The Ideal Marriage, According to Novels.”

* “He taught me that it’s much better to face harsh reality than to close your eyes to it. Once you are aware of the dangers, your chances of survival are much better if you take some risks than if you meekly follow the crowd. That is why I trained myself to look at the dark side.” That’s from a fascinating interview on Europe with George Soros.

* “Poetry used to be performance, not the subject of close textual analysis. The century-old shift from poetry for the ear to poetry for the eye has not been good for poetry.” The most heard “poetry” is pop music, and pop music is performed. Incidentally, in The Lord of the Rings the poetry / songs are all recited rather than read.

* Economics in thrillers and mysteries. Anyone have other recommendations?

* “Seattle Transit Tunneling Is Going Great, and The People Want More.” Headlines rarely seen!

* Howself-driving cars may change cities.

* George’s comment on “Do millennials have a future in Seattle? Do millennials have a future in any superstar cities?”

* “Privilege and inequality in Silicon Valley: Why ‘few successful startup founders grew up desperately poor.’” Note that a startup founder wrote this and it isn’t the usual garbage you’re (legitimately) expecting.