I am dying of squamous cell carcinoma, and the treatments that might save me are just out of reach

If you find this piece worthwhile, consider the Go Fund Me that’s funding ongoing cancer care.

Alex Tabarrok writes about how “when the FDA fails to approve a good drug, people die but the bodies are buried in an invisible graveyard.” I’d like to make that graveyard a little bit more visible because I’m going to be buried in it, in a few weeks or months. A squamous cell carcinoma tumor appeared on my tongue last September; the surgery for it occurred in October, followed by radiation in December – January, but the tumor reappeared at the base of my tongue in April. A massive surgery on May 25 appeared to produce “clean margins” (that is, no tumor cells remained where the surgeon operated), albeit at huge cost: I have no tongue any more, just a “flap” of muscle where it used to be, and no ability to swallow solid foods ever again. Monday I’m starting chemotherapy, but that’s almost certainly going to fail, because a CT scan shows four to six new gross tumors, four in my neck and two, possibly, in my lungs.

So what might help me? MRNA tumor vaccines. Head and neck squamous cell carcinomas (HNSCC) are notoriously treatment resistant, and mRNA vaccines have shown huge promise. Why aren’t they happening faster? Because the FDA is slow. There are some trials underway (here is one from Moderna; here is another), and, although I’m trying to enroll, I may be too late, since my cancer moves so aggressively. The FDA was loathe to approve initial mRNA human trials, even when those trials would have been full of people like me: those who are facing death sentences anyway.

Here is one story, from “Why the FDA Has an Incentive to Delay the Introduction of New Drugs:”

In the early 1980s, when I headed the team at the FDA that was reviewing the NDA for recombinant human insulin, . . . we were ready to recommend approval a mere four months after the application was submitted (at a time when the average time for NDA review was more than two and a half years). With quintessential bureaucratic reasoning, my supervisor refused to sign off on the approval—even though he agreed that the data provided compelling evidence of the drug’s safety and effectiveness. “If anything goes wrong,” he argued, “think how bad it will look that we approved the drug so quickly.” (41)

The problem is that delaying mRNA cancer vaccines kills people like me.

We need to have a much stronger “right to try” presumption: “When Dying Patients Want Unproven Drugs,” we should let those patients try. I have weeks to months left; let’s try whatever there is to try, and advance medicine along the way. The “right to try” is part of fundamental freedom—and this is particularly true for palliative-stage patients without a route to a cure anyway. They are risking essentially nothing.

When I am dead and buried at least those who I love and who love me will know the FDA protected me and millions of others like me from ourselves. Thanks, FDA. But the dead do not vote and do not agitate for change, so the system is likely to grind on.

In computer science there is a convention in which one’s first program prints “Hello, world.” Now it is my turn to write “Goodbye, world.” I’m crying as I write this and am sorry to have to go so soon. I have to give back the gift, though with great sadness.

Here is more about the FDA being slow and bureaucratic.

EDIT: Thank you for all the comments and emails. Many of you have asked what you can do to help, and one possible answer is to consider the Go Fund Me that’s funding ongoing care. Apart from that, I’m being treated at the Mayo Clinic Phoenix, and they have a system set up for donations to support clinical trials, so maybe that is another answer; I hope that, in the future, others won’t have to go through what I’m going through.

You may like some of the other essays I’ve written, like “I know what happens to me after I die, but what about those left behind?“, or that Bess has written, like “How much suffering is too much?”

Jake Seliger, possible figurehead for the invisible graveyard of men and women killed by the FDA's slowness
The author on July 22, 2023, when he is, or was, still alive.

Links: Some cancer things, but also some other things

* “Slow, Costly Clinical Trials Drag Down Biomedical Breakthroughs.” This is particularly relevant to me right now because the breakthroughs I need to survive are on the horizon but not here yet.

* On the absurd cancer drug shortage, and the fragile supply chains enabling it.

* How Woke Led to Cultural Decadence. Maybe. But trends bring counter-trends too, right?

* Heat pumps are important.

* What It Will Take to Deter China in the Taiwan Strait.

* Is a Revolution in Cancer Treatment Within Reach? First 80% of the article is great, and the last 20% is terrible.

* “Castration, gang-rape, forced nudity: How Russia’s soldiers terrorise Ukraine with sexual violence.” The level of ignorance and folly that comes from the “Why are we support Ukraine?” crowd is borderline unbelievable, but then one remembers that they’re suffering from partisanship brain.

* Interview with China specialist Dan Wang.

* The Princess Bride at 50. The book is more than a little curious, and an artifact of its time.

* Suddenly, it looks like we’re in a golden age for medicine.

* The year I tried to teach myself math.

* “From the Hoover Dam to the Second Avenue subway, America builds slower.” And that is bad. Speed is good.

Global warming is here and it’s everyone’s fault

Maybe you’ve seen: “The 15 hottest days, in the world’s hottest month.”

It’s not like we weren’t warned: Nasa scientist James Hansen testified to Congress in 1988 about what was coming. We ignored it. By now, it’s everyone’s fault.

It’s the fault of:

* People who have spent decades voting against nuclear power.

* People who support NEPA. People who have never heard of NEPA.

* NIMBYs who work and vote to keep the vast majority of domiciles car-dependent.

* NIMBYs who make sure we can’t build more housing in dense, green cities like NYC (where I used to live, but moved, due to affordability issues).

* People who vote against bike lanes.

* People who could have picked the smaller vehicles and didn’t.

* People who could have picked up the bikes and didn’t.

* People who could have installed solar and didn’t.

* People who vote against mass transit (“It will never be practical”).

* Me. I only have so much effort to push into resisting the efforts of hundreds of millions if not billions of other people who are enacting the system. I try to resist but it’s hard for one person.

* People who realize that they’d like to live differently but are pushed into that single exurban direction by the legal and regulatory structure of American and, often, Canadian life.

Even the people who’d like to live greener—without a car, without relentless parking lots blighting the landscape, without having to live in single-unit housing—mostly can’t, in the United States. Or if we can, we’re merely moving the next marginal candidate who’d like to live densely into the exurbs of Phoenix, Dallas, Houston, Miami, and so on. Those are the places where it’s legal to build housing, so that’s where most people are going. I’ve moved from New York to Phoenix because I can afford the latter and can (barely) afford the former. Most of Phoenix is impossible without a car, and dangerous on a bike. It’s tragic, and I’d love to see change, but the system is forcing me in a particular direction and it’s incredibly expensive to try resisting it.

It’s the fault of no one, and everyone. There are some green shoots of change happening, albeit slowly, but we needed to get serious about nuclear power and the removal of non-safety zoning restrictions decades ago. We didn’t, and now the price is showing up. We need to get serious today, but we’re not.

Because fault is diffused, most of us, me included, feel there’s nothing substantial we can do—so we do nothing. Years pass. The problems worsen, though we can justify to ourselves that the problems are just headlines. Insurance becomes hard to get. The deniers set up their own alternative universes, where information only confirms and never disconfirms their worldviews. The bullshit asymmetry principle plays out: “The amount of energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than that needed to produce it.”

“What if scientists have over-predicted the consequences of global warming?” people ask. The flipside is never considered: “What if they’re underpredicting the consequences?”

The system goes on. Maybe solar, wind, and geothermal get cheap fast enough to partially save us. Maybe direct air capture (DAC) of carbon dioxide proceeds fast enough.

But maybe it doesn’t. And then the crisis will be all of our faults. And no one’s.