Links: Non-competes improve flourishing, where the future is, and more!

* “How China uses foreign firms to turbocharge its industry: China uses global industry leaders like Apple and Tesla to get technology and upgrade its industrial ecosystem.”

* Bess on “Debugging the Doctor Brain: Who’s teaching doctors how to think?”

* Skepticism towards 3-D printed housing.

* Covid was almost certainly of zoonotic origin.

* Gary Shteyngart sent on a massive cruise ship and, surprise! he finds it distasteful and absurd, though in a humorous way. I mean, people on cruise ships would probably find book festivals boring, too. I would likely find a car or horse race unbearably tedious, and so I don’t go to either.

* “From Intellectual Dark Web to Crank Central.” Consistent with my read. A publication like Quillette is impressive because it has retained its taste for heterodoxy without lying, or ignoring important things that are true. I heard someone say that often the only people worse than the institutionalists are often the anti-institutionalists—maybe it was in “Losing Faith In Contrarianism: There are institutional incentives that make contrarian views that catch on mostly wrong.” Granted, “contrarianism” over time scale? Yesterday’s contrarianism is often today’s obviously right belief.

* Americans are still not worried enough about the risk of world war.

* “‘The Small Press World is About to Fall Apart.’ On the Collapse of Small Press Distribution.” Despite me writing about how literary culture is dead, this is still bad.

* The leadership philosophy of Jensen Huang.

* Baseball is dying. It seems tremendously boring to watch, even moreso than football. Yet football seems to be thriving, for reasons not obvious to me, though it is more fun than baseball.

* On fonio, the grain of the moment.

* That article about NPR’s extreme political bias. I stopped listening more than ten years ago; the problems go back further, I think, than this guy says. Their new CEO says things like “Our reverence for the truth might be a distraction that’s getting in the way of finding common ground and getting things done.”

* “Opening a small business in San Francisco is still a nightmare.” Part of the challenge faced by the left right now is showing really good governance in the places, like SF, that’re ruled by the left. Ezra Klein has been good on this—this recent article about a $1.7 million toilet in San Francisco is an example.

* Boeing and the Dark Age of American Manufacturing.

* FTC announces rule banning non-competes. Good. Non-competes impede the formation of new firms and retard the circulation of ideas. California remains a startup hotbed because the state bans non-competes, which means that startups continue to congregate there despite many poor governance choices.

The recent war between cancer and cancer-treatment side effects

When Francis Bacon said the remedy is worse than the disease, he wasn’t thinking of metastatic tongue cancer, where both disease and remedy are horrific in their own nightmarishly unique ways. Right now I’m facing a related dilemma, in that my cancer is aggressive and incurable, but the clinical-trial drug I’m taking is producing side effects that may themselves be deadly. Cancer treatment is of course violent: my tongue was cut out, my tissues burnt with radiation, my veins infused with both well-tested and experimental poisons. Cancer is violent too; the headaches I had before treatment left me with a foot in my own grave on May 24, 2023, the night Bess and I got married, and the night before the total glossectomy. We both knew I might not wake up from the surgery.

Despite the pain and the fatigue and the overall struggle, the choice to endure—to spend time with Bess, and writing, and trying to squeeze what I can out of life—has, well, endured. “Endure” means “enroll in clinical trials,” since the only existing treatments are palliative chemotherapy followed by death. When I was on petosemtamab / MCLA-158, the first clinical-trial drug, I endured full-body skin rashes and “paronychias” (infections and inflammation around the cuticles of the fingers and toes) that made it hard to type and walk. I bled a lot. When petosemtamab stopped working on Mar. 13, Bess and I scrambled madly, and I survived long enough to enroll in the Seagen PDL1V trial. I had high hopes that PDL1V would come with fewer side effects.

PDL1V is an antibody-drug conjugate (ADC), which, according to Seagen, means that the drug “specifically target[s] certain proteins that are found on the surface of tumor cells.” ADCs “recognize and bind tightly to targets expressed in tumors, while limiting binding to normal tissues.” Conventional systemic chemo causes numerous side effects because the chemo hits not only the cancer cells, but also all the other rapidly dividing cells in the body. ADCs are supposed to ameliorate that problem. PDL1V delivers a gnarly chemo agent called MMAE, which Wikipedia says “show[s] potency of up to 200 times that of vinblastine, another antimitotic drug.” I don’t fully understand what that means, although Bess says it basically has to do with a drug’s effects at a certain concentration, meaning that 1mL of MMAE is as powerful as 200mL of vinblastine. It does make MMAE sound like it’ll do bad things to tumors.

The question is, exactly how targeted is PDL1V? While I had fewer side effects from petosemtamab than the average patient, I appear to be on the other end of the curve for PDL1V—meaning it’s targeting the tumor, but it also seems to be targeting parts of me that aren’t tumor, too.

My first PDL1V dose was April 15, and I got through that week okay. Exhaustion and difficulty eating were the most prominent side effects. The second dose was April 22, and, like many ominous problems, the ones from that dose snuck up on me: by Tuesday April 23, I was feeling lightheaded, weak, confused, and generally out of sorts, which isn’t entirely unexpected when starting a new, experimental anti-cancer regimen. I’d seen the PDL1V side-effect list, too—fatigue, nausea, constipation, diarrhea, decreased appetite—a generic list of symptoms, and yet mine were consistent with them. Practically every medication carries a list of similar potential side effects, maybe because a lot of people are tired and have GI problems. Although I knew by Apr. 23 I was doing poorly and not eating enough (which is maybe not surprising given that I was sleeping or dozing for twelve hours a day), I checked my weight and discovered that I’d plunged from ~144 lbs down into the 133 – 136 lbs range. Crisis. It’s possible to starve to death by accident, since I’m never hungry and have to force myself to consume every calorie. But getting close to starvation will interrupt treatment, which is also deleterious. The world is full of perils, and Bess and I are navigating the cancer ones as best we can. If you’re reading this and wondering why a dip in my weight caused alarm bells, it’s because a series of seemingly tiny, benign problems can turn out to herald a crisis. I used to be robust, but now I’m fragile, and fragility demands diligence if I’m not to slip into the void.

In cancer therapy for an incurable malady like mine, there’s no promised land short of an extremely improbable, though not impossible, “complete response”—or permanent remission—but there are temporary safe harbors in which one can float for a time between dangerous ocean sojourns. Petosemtamab was such a relief. Sometimes what appears to be a safe harbor turns out to be infested with unexpected challenges, much as another may turn out to be too shallow, or controlled by pirates, or full. Last month I wrote seven thousand words about the epic journey from the MCLA-158 / petosemtamab clinical trial that kept my tumors checked from Sept. 2023 to March 2023, in “The emotional trial of clinical trials: It’s like online dating except if you choose wrong you die” and “The clinical trial trials: death by a thousand cuts.” It’s like The Lord of the Rings, except that the wizards and high elves are drug researchers, the men of Númenor are oncologists, and I’m basically a hobbit, sustained to a degree by courage and fortitude but fundamentally buffeted by forces frustratingly beyond my control.

If you read mountaineering disaster stories like Jon Krakauer’s Into Thin Air, there’s almost always a pattern: under-preparation; inexperienced climbers; failure to fully understand and incorporate how rapidly weather can change at altitude; and, perhaps most importantly, not turning back the minute the weather is changing for the worse. “Under-preparation” and “failure to recognize the truth of the situation” is probably a good, simplified version, and that happened to me: I wasn’t adequately prepared with GI meds like Zofran, Imodium, Bentyl, Simethecone, and even basic Pepto-Bismol. Even worse, on Apr. 23 I didn’t recognize what was happening to me, but Bess identified dehydration as a potential cause. Diarrhea causes dehydration and that in turn causes weight loss. Bess scolded me for not telling her of my GI symptoms sooner so that she could play doctor for me. Then again, is it playing doctor if she is a doctor?

By Apr. 24, two days after the second PDL1V treatment, dehydration became a focus of our efforts. In many if not most cities, a bunch of IV hydration companies have sprung up to cater to the hungover and coming-down-from-drugs crowd, and we live in prime territory for those clinics because numerous alcohol-dispensing points are nearby. Bess and I inadvertently moved into an area called “Old Town Scottsdale,” which is known for its bars and parties; you may read “inadvertently” and think: “How does one ‘inadvertently’ move somewhere? That seems like a pretty deliberate act.” While the moving itself was advertent, we left New York in 2020 during COVID and I picked our apartment based on its (relative) walkability, it being within acceptable range of Bess’s work, and the number of coffee shops within easy biking distance. I didn’t think to check for nearby bars. Probably we should’ve moved to downtown Phoenix, but Bess’s impressions of downtown Phoenix were decades out of date, and she thought it only fit for seeing a concert or a play, then driving away as fast as possible, unless one wants to score meth or paid sex of dubious quality beneath the Van Buren underpass.

Anyway, we did what we did and mistakes were made, but living beside a bunch of IV hydration companies proved useful because one was a two-minute walk from our building. By Wednesday, Apr. 24, I was being rehydrated, like a desiccated plant. Although IV bags through the IV clinic aren’t cheap—$100 for one liter, $150 for two—they’re much, much cheaper and more convenient than emergency rooms, which is where I was headed. My weight was low, my hold on consciousness becoming more tenuous, my heartrate up and erratic, while my blood pressure was down, and alleviating those problems was well worth the cash.

Unfortunately, I kept experiencing what we’ll call GI distress, which included feeling like my guts were being stirred with a hook every time I ate. The first round of PDL1V on Apr. 15 had caused exhaustion from the night of Apr. 17 until at least Sunday Apr. 21, but it didn’t cause a ton of GI issues, so those caught Bess and me off guard. The second round brought more fatigue, along with persistent GI struggles.

On top of the GI issues, we did get the go-ahead for spot radiation from Seagen / Pfizer, via START-Utah, the organization that is hosting the PDL1V study. So on Apr. 24 I got the two liters of IV fluids and my first session of spot radiation. The spot radiation immediately caused my neck to tighten, my voice to become hoarser and raspier, and my ability to swallow to be impaired. Bess and others point out to me, too, that radiation is commonly exhausting even for people not getting chemo-like agents. Still, I think the PDL1V accounts for the majority of the exhaustion, though I can’t rule out some contribution from radiation. When I got extensive radiation from Dec. 2022 – Jan. 2023, though, I remember the first three weeks of it not being bad in terms of side effects, and then the side effects getting worse by the day after that. But I wasn’t on any chemo agents from Dec. 2022 – Jan. 2023. I was, of course, also in much better physical shape then, and now I often seem a bit like a shambling reanimated corpse whose parts do not fit or act together all that well any more.

There’s also some evidence that MMAE in particular radiosensitizes tumors, and so we may have gotten some synergistic chemo-radiation effects. I feared, however, that the treatment might shrink the tumors and leave my neck fibrotic, and me unable to swallow semi-effectively, or speak. Then again, the tumors could grow and cause the same problems. Here we again see the remedy-disease conundrum.

Over the week of Apr. 22 – 29, the giant bulges on the left side of my neck have flattened out, which may imply PDL1V’s effectiveness. One site leaked a huge amount of goo reminiscent of the necrotized lymph node that startled me into an emergency ENT appointment back in November; Bess thinks the goo is necrotized tumor. The headaches that were plaguing me from the end of March through a lot of April were reduced in intensity, so it’s possible that the next CT scans will show PDL1V working well. It’s also possible that the radiation, potentiated by the drug, will make the PDL1V appear to have worked better than it would have on its own, even though I only finished two of my five spot radiation doses.

But the side effects and weight loss of the last two weeks make me doubtful PDL1V is sustainable. I spent most of Apr. 24 – 29 in bed. On Apr. 26, I foolishly drove myself to Mayo for a second radiation treatment while Bess was at work, when I should have taken an Uber because I could barely keep my eyes open. Eventually the GI problems petered out, but they were gross, and extensive, and even Imodium and related meds did not fully eliminate them. From Apr. 30 – May 5, I felt gradually better, but the absence of new material here on The Story’s Story gives a sense of how I was doing physically and mentally. I started writing this essay about PDL1V side effects on Apr. 26. It’s not like me to take two weeks to write an essay like this.

I got a third PDL1V dose on Monday, May 6, and now I’m armed with an army of medications to combat potential side effects: a dose of Aloxi (“super Zofran”—an anti-emetic) and 4mg of dexamethasone with the PDL1V itself. Lots of Imodium. Bentyl and Simethicone, for gut pain and cramping. Ativan at night. I think a couple of others I’m not remembering right now. The side effects have been better than they were after the second dose, but they’ve still been rough. Dr. Call, my oncologist at START-Utah, says that we can reduce the PDL1V dose in an attempt to cut back the side effects while likely retaining the anti-cancer properties.

There’s another possibility, too: right now we have a slot for an immunotherapy called BGB-A3055. Next week I’ll get CT scans to check and see what the PDL1V has done so far. If PDL1V has minimal anti-tumor effect, then leaving the PDL1V trial is easy. But what if it shrinks my tumor size by 30% or more, at the cost of me feeling abysmal for two weeks out of three, and barely being able to eat? How long can I keep this up, even with supportive medication?

The questions likely don’t have answers. I’m tired of being tired, after a mere three weeks of treatment. Most likely, we’ll get ambiguous results from the CT scans next week: tumors  that are, say, 15% smaller—which is great, but enough to endure the GI problems and exhaustion?

Cancer brings with it a whiff of medieval torture options: would you rather be placed on the rack or quartered? Either way you’re torn apart. Either way, a third option would be preferable, though there is only one to choose from: whether or not to endure the cure or the disease at all.

Bess is the main reason to persist. It’s dispiriting to have poured so much effort into finding PDL1V and getting into the trial, only to find myself on a ship that seems to have a serious hole in it, and some seaworthiness questions. Yet that’s part of the experimental-drug process.[1] We make choices based on incomplete information and do the best we can with those choices. I didn’t foresee being walloped by PDL1V GI side effects. I didn’t foresee either the sweaty, intense, month-long period from Mar. 13 to Apr. 15 when finding a clinical trial utterly consumed Bess and me. In early April, I wasn’t convinced I’d make it to the next trial. Yet I’m still here, despite having shed pounds that I didn’t and don’t have to shed. Surprises pile up. Some are pleasant: I didn’t think petosemtamab would work, or that I’d see 2024, and yet it did and we’re now well into 2024. I’ve gotten to spend a huge amount of bonus time with Bess.

For now, my choice remains to endure. The question, as I contemplate whether it’s better to persevere on PDL1V or transition into the next study is: will the new drug allow me to?

If you’ve gotten this far, consider the Go Fund Me that’s funding ongoing care.


[1] At least I didn’t wind up in the trial of magrolimab, which doesn’t seem to be generally effective.

Links: The need for training data, the energy industries, blindness and insight, and more!

* There isn’t enough training data for AI on the Internet. (wsj, $) You should write more online, so the machine god has more training data.

* “Terraform makes carbon neutral natural gas.” Impressive; whether it can scale remains an open question.

* “The new science of death: ‘There’s something happening in the brain that makes no sense.’” My view is that we don’t understand consciousness or the brain.

* “Would-be Tesla buyers snub company as Musk’s reputation dips.” The risks of Tesla becoming a partisan brand are still underrated.

* Questions about biotech. Really impressive! Don’t be put off by a title that may seem anodyne. Questions about biotech are really questions about life itself, and whether we live or, in my case, die.

* Fire departments block humane urban design, and have other statistically illiterate, deleterious effects. Sad. We should do better.

* “How China uses foreign firms to turbocharge its industry.” Perhaps we should stop that? Or at least discourage it?

* “Economic Reasons To Pass Promising Pathway Act,” which would accelerate FDA approvals of drugs for small patient populations, and for people with fatal diseases, like me.

* New Zealand liberalized land-use laws and got less-expensive housing as a result. Everywhere else should try it! Meanwhile: “California is building fewer homes. The state could get even more expensive” (LA Times, $).

* On Robert Frost.

* “How I fell out of love with academia.” The problems are well known, but no one has managed to yet produce a better system. “Yet” being the key word.

* “China Outpacing U.S. Defense Industrial Base.” And we’re asleep.

* “Hamas Actually Believed It Would Conquer Israel. In Preparation, It Divided the Country Into Cantons.” Interesting if true. I’m struck by how often throughout history leaders have just made very bad choices. That striking feature makes me pessimistic about the future of humanity, given nuclear weapons, ego, and hubris.

* “What makes housing so expensive?” Depends on where you are.

* “Greenpeace crusade will blind and kill children.” This is what passes for many “environmental” organizations now.

“Woman-to-Woman-to…Huberman:” What journalism looks like from the inside 

This is written by a woman (and friend of mine!) who wishes to remain anonymous

When the article about Andrew Huberman was published in March, I wasn’t surprised, because “Sarah” had contacted me months before, seeking answers from women she says didn’t know about her, though they were having sex with her then-partner, Andrew. 

On a Sunday night in February, I received a text from an unknown number—the texter introduced herself as “Sarah,” the woman Andrew shared his life with for the last five years. She shared deeply personal, deleterious, and unsubstantiated details about Andrew cheating on her with four to ten women, spreading rumors about her, and verbally abusing her. She assumed I was one of those hapless women, and she apologized for being the one to tell me. She was cloaking gossip in virtue, though she reassured me that she held no ill will against me and saw me as another victim. All of this happened before ending her opening message to me by asking me, “woman-to-woman,” to bring her comfort and closure by admitting that I was sleeping with Andrew. 

I felt a mix of shame, suspicion, confusion, hurt, degradation, empathy, and curiosity. Who was on the other end of this message? Could I trust her, or him, or them? Was this a trap? What sort of nightmare love triangle did Andrew drag me into? “Triangle” is probably not even the right geometric shape. I asked her how she found my contact information. It was hard not to feel solidarity with her, she was kind and spilling her guts about her heartbreak—yet, her approach was unapologetically intrusive and felt manipulative. 

Sarah said she found my name in Andrew’s journal one day and instinctively took a photo of the page and later googled me to find my number. When I asked why she’d assume I had an “affair” with Andrew after reading my name in his journal, she replied: “Because of him talking about a long-term relationship…with somebody beautiful. I looked at your picture and you seemed beautiful and private.” 

I admit some susceptibility to flattery, and yet it was as if Sarah thought I owed her answers regarding my relationship with Andrew. After I felt confident that this was the woman that Andrew had been seeing for the last few years, I told her that I’d not seen Andrew since before the pandemic. She rapid-fire texted: 

  • “So he cheated on me with you in the early part of our relationship?”
    • No, I’ve been in relationships. 
  • “Oh, he reached out, but you didn’t accept.”
    • No.
  • “Were you in a relationship with him? Or was it just more casual?”

I told Sarah I’d not been romantically involved with Andrew since before their relationship started in ~2018. 

She declared how relieved she felt and we discussed in limited detail our histories with Andrew. Sarah said nothing about going to the press and I said I wasn’t interested in any sort of PR takedown of him. It’s possible she wasn’t planning to at that moment, but I felt she had an agenda beyond closure. I thought she wanted revenge.

I told her I’d known Andrew for nearly 20 years and was aware that he had some struggles in his relationships—and don’t we all! Sarah said she was also aware of his past. Despite what she said earlier in her texts, Andrew had nothing but very positive things to say about her whenever I spoke to him. He told me all about their struggles with fertility and how much he loved their shared life with her children from a former marriage. While Andrew and I had dated off and on for many years, he did not reach out to me for anything romantic when they were together, indicating to me that he must be quite committed and in love with her. I expressed compassion and empathy for her and with any woman he’s not been truthful to, but I also expressed sympathy for Andrew because I know that, despite himself, he wants a life partner. The whole thing seemed sad to me. 

After Sarah realized I saw Andrew as more than what she and these other women experienced (he is more than that), she acknowledged Andrew was generous and kind with her in many ways throughout their relationship. She repeated to me that part of her healing process is knowing the full truth. I am sure she meant this, though I don’t know where she picked up this notion or how she knows it’s true. I think she should read Esther Perel’s books. The sense that she was seeking more than “healing” persisted. The truth came out when the article hit. 

I can’t decide what stood out to me more when I first read it: that Sarah cherry-picked whose contact info she provided to Kerry Howley, conveniently excluding me, or that a story which doesn’t amount to much more than a gossip column about an accomplished neuroscientist-turned-podcaster’s propensity for wandering made the front cover of New York Magazine. There’s no abuse of power, no exploitation, no inspirational story of female empowerment—there’s simply an opportunistic journalist writing an unflattering portrayal of Andrew Huberman as a narcissistic, philandering liar. Is someone’s admittedly salacious private life news? 

Howley might’ve squandered an opportunity to empower women who may have felt powerless in their relationships or perhaps open a dialogue about the complexity of human relationships gone awry. Something about how these women found themselves involved and, in some cases, in love with a man who seemed unreliable and even deceptive in his personal life while earning a public reputation as thoughtful, insightful, and charming. Instead of complexity, she chose simplicity. Howley didn’t explore the characters or backgrounds of the women in this story. Who are they? What were they seeking? Had she done more diligence of her own, Howley would’ve at least alluded to the background of one of them whose company was investigated for consumer fraud and sued by former employees for wage theft—clear instances of deception and abusing one’s power. The latter of the two was settled out of court and as they say, guilty people don’t settle (looking at you, Michael Jackson). 

Instead, Howley wrote about a series of anonymous women who say they thought they were in a monogamous relationship with a man, only to find out it was not monogamous at all. She highlighted how he repeated the same lines over and over again to these women. A lot of the language sounded familiar to me—oh wait, that’s because I’ve known Andew for years. I’m pretty certain my vernacular doesn’t reinvent itself every time I’m in a new relationship, and I’m pretty sure that’s true of most people. The article also includes a number of barely corroborated, seemingly petty things Andrew lied about to demonstrate his supposed lack of moral compass. One that stood out to me was that he lied about living in Piedmont, a wealthy enclave in the East Bay. Andrew’s home, while technically not part of the Piedmont zip code, was a literal stone’s throw away. The article felt like a jilted-lovers’ fantasy come true: an expose detailing every dark and mortifying secret about your cheating ex. 

Perhaps there just wasn’t a great story to tell and that’s why it merely reads as gossip. Were Howley and the New York Magazine editor also duped into sleeping with Andrew Huberman under the guise of monogamy and a great future together? Did they do it anyway, for the story?

Look, I get it. I have a pretty deep well of empathy for a woman scorned; I tell friends that I’ll provide transportation across international borders should they seek revenge and need to make a quick getaway. What I really want my friends to know when I make that joke is, if anyone ever betrays their trust, I’ll empathize with their feelings of anger and hurt and won’t judge them for acting out while they process it. 

I’ve been inspired by women who seek revenge on their exes, particularly when they empower themselves as women in the process. The difference between empowerment and disempowerment is important. One such example is the article that Justine Musk penned herself about her ex-husband, Elon Musk. Justine didn’t write this anonymously or use it as an opportunity to unearth gossip from all corners of Musk’s life (even though I think he deserved it then and deserves it even more now), weaving together a hit-piece without any substantive commentary on the complexities of life and relationships. Justine bravely laid bare her participation in the slow relinquishing of her own identity and career in support of her talented but painfully insecure partner, who turned around and dumped her anyway. The story inspires because it’s multifaceted, introspective, and offers insight into how someone might find themself in that exact same situation. And perhaps a roadmap to escape it.

The Sarah I communicated with in February sounded capable of writing something more cogent and inspiring. Something revealing, and introspective, while also untangling the complexities of getting involved with someone we can’t fully trust. I think Howley failed her by turning this article into the hack job that it is. I don’t know whether Sarah or these other women found closure or peace of mind by participating. I can’t help but feel like this article could serve as a lesson for Andrew and for them, but one that the author failed to articulate anywhere among its 10,000 words. What stories aren’t being told as this one is? What would someone with a broader, more humane vision of the world than Howley’s have done with the material? If we’re going to talk about lying, why don’t we talk about Sarah’s motives, and what she said when she approached women on Howley’s behalf? Why aren’t we looking into the relationship between Sarah and Howley? 

Much of the legacy media has turned into a hit-piece machine. It’s sad, but also common, and yet I still think many people don’t realize how the media sausage gets made. Once a journalist has a point of view, they often act like a prosecutor. We saw what the New York Times did to Astral Codex Ten writer Scott Alexander. Now we have this attack against Huberman. I don’t condone his dating habits, but I also don’t think this amounts to a public story. Ryan Holiday published Trust Me, I’m Lying: Confessions of a Media Manipulator back in 2012. A dozen years later, it remains distressingly relevant. I want someone to investigate Howley and Sarah, and tell us how the article came together. That’s the story that’s most important to the public interest, because so many of the media’s sleazy operations are cloaked in secrecy. I can reveal just a little bit of that story: “journalism” can pretend to be a private story when it’s actually prep for a public social attack.

Many of us have unfortunate periods in our romantic histories, or pathologies we battle in our relationships today. But if you become famous, you become a target for the Howleys and New York Magazines of the world.

I don’t think there is a there there with this story. I think Sarah and Andrew did have real love and a real relationship, and she knows Andrew. She knows about his childhood, about his struggles to get where he is, about his deep desire for a loving family. Regardless of how much Howley attempted to undermine and trivialize it. I’ve had men betray me and I’ve fantasized about their personal or professional demise. But over time I’ve come to see them more fully. They are more than the hurt they caused me, and they were more to me than the hurt they caused me. Someone once told me that the only thing more emotionally damaging than feeling abandoned or betrayed by someone you trust, is abandoning our own sense of truth and morality. I believe that. But, if you’re my friend or a woman in need and your man has cheated on you, you know where to find me if you need a getaway car. 

Links: The need to read, dispatches from the Adderall epidemic, prices fall in Austin, and more!

* “Kids Today Can’t Read – Even College Kids: The bite-sizing of books.” Fortunately, GPAs keep going up. Still, I wrote two years ago that Most people don’t read carefully or for comprehension, and I’m not sure that things have changed all that much in the last two decades.

* “Club Med: Dispatches from the Adderall Epidemic.” Often entertaining. Are all writers on Adderall or similar medications, as is asserted and/or implied here?

* Debugging the Doctor Brain: Who’s teaching doctors how to think?

* We Need Major, But Not Radical, FDA Reform. Consistent with my ongoing experiences.

* “America’s Magical Thinking About Housing: Austin built a lot of homes. Now rent is falling, and some people seem to think that’s a bad thing.” Falling rent is good!

* Early-onset cancer burden increased by ~50% from 1990 – 2019. The “early-onset” part indicates this isn’t about people getting older.

* “The Crime Rings Stealing Everything from Purses to Power Tools.” Implicitly about the need for basic law enforcement, and the way a small number (and percentage) of people cause a disproportionate number of problems.

* “Do 10x as much.”

* Is classical education making a comeback? That, like micro-schools, may be a response to the current problems in schools, including the ineffective and foolish ideologies being spread by many teachers training programs. Relatedly, in Wisconsin, Alex Tabarrok reports that the state mandated teachers be paid for performance, not seniority, and teacher qualify improved—as you’d expect.

* “Hospitals Are Adding Billions in ‘Facility’ Fees for Routine Care.” We really need price transparency in healthcare and seem to be nowhere near it.

* “Los Angeles is laying the groundwork for a better urban future.” Probably true, but neither the city nor the county have managed to build substantial amounts of new housing; the future, as measured by population growth, is presently happening in Texas, as noted above. Also, market-rate housing will make your city cheaper, which is obvious, and yet a noisy minority of people don’t seem to understand it. Overall, “There is nothing except political will stopping us fixing our housing crisis. And doing so is free. All we need to do is get a planning system that allows people, all other things being equal, to build houses on land those people own.” Obvious, and yet commonly fought over.

* “The War at Stanford: I didn’t know that college would be a factory of unreason.”

* “Why It’s So Expensive to Live in Phoenix.” Short answer: the same NIMBY problems that plague all of America. See also “Government of the NIMBY, for the NIMBY, by the NIMBY.”

* Covid’s origins are likely zoonotic.

* “Cancer-vaccine trials give reasons for optimism.”

* “Mahbod Moghadam: An Obituary.” He made Rap Genius (later just “Genius”), but a brain tumor felled him. He may be another of the dead at the hands of slow FDA. I’m a year younger than him.

The clinical trial trials, part II: death by a thousand cuts

This is part II of “The emotional trial of clinical trials,” but it can be read independently.

The saga of switching from the petosemtamab clinical trial to the PDL1V trial is crazy upon crazy, but while the logistical nightmare hints at our personal frustration, the story didn’t express the  emotional and psychological struggles of trying to stay alive. With so much of the system feeding into the craziness, I started to wonder: is this what finally makes me lose my mind? Or what finally terminates my will to persist?

My grip on sanity in an insane medical bureaucracy came from other bastions of reason amidst the chaos, and from the aid of many others. The vast majority of people Bess and I have interacted with, including oncologists, trial nurses, admin staff, and others, have been supremely helpful. With only a small number of exceptions, we’ve overwhelmingly encountered people who’ve gone above and beyond duty to help us! I want to emphasize that, and to highlight that I’ve not lost all perspective, or a sense of gratitude. Most individuals have been fantastic, even if the system sometimes contorts those efforts into appearing like roadblocks.

The opaqueness of information causes new, unexpected problems, even as someone is trying to solve a different problem for us: many games of telephone, in which Bess or I ask something, then someone else asks an oncologist, then an oncologist asks the trial sponsor, then the sponsor gets back to the oncologist, then the oncologist tells someone at the site, then someone at the site tells us, with all the latency this implies. Sometimes we then have to retell that information to someone else at Mayo, or UCSD, or another trial site. Sure, I get why pharma companies don’t want the unwashed masses pinging them all the time, but the net result of information opacity is a lot of drag, during which small delays compound into larger, life-threatening delays. Things could be worse! There’s also an alternate world in which this is much harder than it’s been. But, more importantly, there’s also one in which it’s easier and the trial system more humane. Information is digital, so why are we constantly calling people to relay on it?

So much of my cancer treatment experience consists of “if only the doctor were in town.” I got delayed starting Keytruda in May due to oncologist absence at Mayo, without anyone really covering for him. The May 25 surgery was almost delayed into June due to a doctor vacation. In the period between Mar. 13 and Apr. 15, the missing information from MDA—the doctor was on vacation— caused tremendous struggle. I obviously don’t begrudge doctors getting vacation, and I have been told that doctors are somewhat human too.[1] But the lack of adequate, specialty-appropriate backup, has meant that anything short of an acute medical emergency that requires the ER, or pre-scheduled chemo, has to wait until the “main doc” returns. Which is to say, everything grinds to a halt, no matter how time-sensitive, for at least a couple of weeks.  

In another world, someone at MDA covering for the vacationing doc in mid-March would’ve looked at my chart in response to my message, seen that I’d consulted with the main doc a few months before to discuss the trail and said: “Yeah we have PDL1V, and we’ll get you in.” I would’ve flown out, qualified, and circumvented much of what followed. Coverage isn’t really coverage if the standard of care is reduced to the barest minimum, or simply instructions to wait. The people making these staffing decisions must have never been in a situation where two weeks might be the difference between life or death for themselves or someone they love. Maybe in some specialties, a delay isn’t optimal but won’t lead to death. In oncology, days matter when fighting an aggressive tumor.

Despite describing what my life—our lives—has been like, I know that in some ways I’m lucky relative to other people in my position. I may be exhausted and hurting, but I’m still able to travel. Without Bess, I would’ve walked the opioid road unapologetically long ago (and as still be my fate). In The Fellowship of the Ring, as the Fellowship is about to depart Rivendell, Elrond says: “You will meet many foes, some open, and some disguised; and you may find friends upon your way when you least look for it.” I’ve found many friends and many people who have helped me when I least looked for it. As I wrote above, an incredible number of doctors, nurses, administrators, and others have made sure I always had somewhere to turn while thousands of people (!), most not friends or family, have donated to the Go Fund Me (GFM) my brother set up. I’ve had many struggles, but the GFM has meant that money mostly hasn’t been so far, despite numerous flights, five-figure genetic testing bills, and all the other money struggles that debilitating illness foments. Many, many people have proffered help and support—you know who you are, and I thank you, though not here by name, and think of you.

Despite these real advantages, which I don’t want to be churlish about—Bess and I appreciate the many people who’ve helped us—there’s been too much to deal with. I’ve let emails drop when I shouldn’t have, and every spare, exhausted neuron fires its energy towards the clinical trial process. At night, when we decide we can’t do any more, I try to read and find reading too difficult and unsatisfying because my mind has been hosed by a combination of fighting cancer and working all day to survive. I’d call Netflix’s adaptation of 3 Body Problem a soporific, but exhaustion itself instead functions that way. We’re good at keeping track of information, yet despite being good, we’re paranoid: what if we misplace or forget something essential? What should we know that we don’t know we should know? And how would we know that we don’t know it?

We’re like detectives from cop novels, forever wondering if the most important datum will be one we don’t notice. We’re continuously double- and triple-checking things, to minimize the risk of missing a vital message. We can tell that we sometimes annoy doctors, nurses, and admins with our checking (and double and triple checking) into matters, but we’ve also found that no one else will do what we do. Finding out that Seagen was having meetings to update their trial rules a few days after getting clearance to do a pre-trial round of chemo, and then double checking with two different sites after the meeting, prevented me from being disqualified. If we hadn’t followed meeting dates, known that rules might change, and then double and triple checked the answer (which had changed), I might still be hunting for a trial. It might be too late. I’m still alive because UCSD had the petosemtamab trial, but a secondary reason is that we were diligent enough to establish care and make sure I could get into that trial. We want to relax, but when inattention means death, it’s hard to.

The non-design of what we call the “clinical trial system” is apparent in information transmission. So little information that could easily be exposed to the public on websites is exposed. I put quotes around “clinical trial system” because it’s not really a system—it appears to have evolved as a set of kludges, and those kludges frustrate. All of the trial information is in databases. It would not be hard to call the database from a website. “PDL1V—5 possible slots.” Someone gets a slot? Update the database to say that “Doe, John” is now in the trial. And then have trial.slots == 4 display on the website. I’m not even a programmer and could likely figure out how to make this work.[2]

A system like this is far more efficient than having prospective trial participants call and email to find out whether slots are open and when they might be open. The Internet is quite old! “Create, read, update and delete” processes are old. Instead of querying a database and showing the results on a website, Bess and I have to call trial sites to query administrative persons by voice. This is not efficient. The meta lesson may be that in many fields, the application of the simple, decades-old technologies remain un- or underapplied. One thesis driving Y Combinator and many venture capitalists is that the application of simple technologies can yield lopsided returns.

A number of “insiders” in the clinical trial system reached out to Bess after she posted her essay about our first trial-search saga, and when she posed the question of why it’s so hard to find trial slots, many admitted that drug companies don’t want people to know. Apparently, speed in successfully filling trials, and how many patients are currently in a trial, tells competitors where a company likely is on their trial timeline. This information can affect where competitors put their money or their time. They protect that information even as it seems to make their own studies harder to run and fill.  

If Bess ever moves to offering clinical-trial guidance services full time, part of what she might do is put all the information she gathers privately on a public website. Does someone tell her the PDL1V kickoff meeting is the week of Apr. 1, and first dosing for the “c” arm is Apr. 15? Put it online! VaccinateCA would be the model. She just read this paragraph and excitedly whispered, “I’ll be the clinical trial vigilante,” with a gleam in her eye usually reserved for unstoppable pet projects.

My brother read a version of essay and observes:

The lack of information about these trials seems like cruel and unusual punishment. Problems like these have been solved by the private technology industry. If Yelp and Google can figure out how to manage petabytes of data from local businesses, then surely the richest country in the history of the world can shore up its technological IP like ClinicalTrials.gov. There is no excuse for an important government website to have a rotten foundation of garbage data.

The things Bess and I most want, maybe even need, to do are getting deferred endlessly by hunting and pecking for information that should be readily available on websites, but isn’t. This seems to waste the extremely valuable time of oncologists, too—and trial managers, trial nurses, and so forth. How many people are like me, except that they give up much sooner? Or do they die while waiting, or experience too much disease progression?

Throughout writing about the clinical-trial process, between July 2023 and now, I’ve tried to give readers a sense of hope balanced by a sense of what the process is like. “I’m going to beat it,” was my big thought when Bess and I first embarked.

That was before my hands and feet hurt as much as they do now.

That was also when I thought I’d have to go through the elaborate trial-learning process once, not at least three times.

That was before I realized just how miserable flying is for someone like me, who needs to wear an n95 mask to avoid getting sick but who also needs to constantly spit, because I don’t have a tongue and my whole nasal-throat-mouth apparatus doesn’t work properly.

Just now, I had to pause writing to hack up a bunch of mucus—the same sort of mucus plug that I have to hack up dozens of times a day, and the type that has previously inspired thoughts of auto-termination because of physical misery. That was before I realized too that the attitude and culture of some of the biggest institutions is: “Do it our way, and suffer.” It seems like a lot of people don’t realize how hard it is to travel when sick, when I can’t eat without blending food, when every step hurts. The most meaningful time I have right now is spent with Bess, family, and friends—none of which happens when I’m on flights or at appointments.

Don’t get me wrong: I’m happy to do hard things that are necessarily hard. It’s the pointlessly hard things that feel intolerable. There are intrinsically hard things: writing well, startups, discovering nature’s secrets. Then there are incidentally hard things, like badly designed products or bureaucracy, and the latter are almost infinitely more frustrating in part because they are pointless, or nonsensical, or casually cruel. People respond to Kafka’s The Trial because it depicts this world of random misery. The first kind of hard thing doesn’t bother me, or I think most people, but the second is maddening because of the way it destroys human flourishing and wastes resources. Pointless waste is awful and that’s what I’ve been experiencing for the last few weeks. And there are people who defend this awful system. They say it “protects” me, from myself I guess.

These systems have evolved without patient input. Any temporary success leads to more hard. Even what should be relatively small problems ripple through the whole system. Not being able to do the things that I’m supposed to be here to do endlessly frustrates. The fight against the pain and fatigue in my body and mind are bad. All of us should be trying to enhance human progress and human flourishing, in however imperfect and cockeyed a way. The last five weeks have not been that for me.

Being alive at all right now is a surprise and blessing, I’m well aware. Petosemtamab bought five months of relatively low worry, and, from mid-December to mid-March, relatively good days. “Relatively” is doing a lot of work there, because compared to my pre-cancer universe, days were bad. But compared to being dead or utterly incapacitated, they were pretty good, and you can see from the writing I’ve done that I managed to engage in some generative activities.[3]

I hate that these are probably the last months of my life and I’m spending them fighting bureaucracy. Relentless, crushing bureaucracy. Which studies? What am I eligible for? Which are open? Can we do telemedicine appointments? The slog feels more like a fight against the mud. “You’re eligible—just kidding!” Trying to decide what might be good. Blockages. People on vacation. Faxes. Demands that I fly places for ten-minute conversations. Moloch. Consuming all our time and attention. The truth is that what we’re doing is unlikely to work, but we’re trying to maximize the probability that it does. Meticulous record keeping. Every call, every message, when it happened, who it was with, what the person said. Example: MDA promise to do video calls. Now ignored. Demanding huge numbers of records up front. Epic partially solves this! Use it! Moving target. Never the same. Not what I want to spend what’re realistically my last months doing. Alternative is to take something locally and from there hope. This is why some oncologists say trials aren’t worth it; at first I didn’t believe them, and yet now I must concede they have a point. But I shouldn’t have to choose between frustration in the attempt to get more time, or a quick, inevitable decline. Everything takes a week or two. Endless emails, calls, everything. Medical bills strewn across my home. Being forced away from Bess, my siblings, friends. Care Everywhere exists! No one uses it! Why not? Easier ways exist.

Every time I’m like: we’re almost at the end! I’m not. There’s fractally more bullshit. Nothing is reliable. It didn’t have to be like this. We didn’t have to work ourselves ragged to get here. We didn’t have to start establishing care again. Record transfer should be easy. Finding clinical trials is like someone throwing pebbles at my head: the first isn’t so bad but by the hundredth you start to wonder if it’s worth it. The opioid road begins to look more appealing again. Balance it against the decent probability that none of this works anyway.

I see why people give up—take whatever’s closest and hope for the best. It’s like being a mortal fighting Morgoth in The Silmarillion: you can keep fighting, but probably there’s no winning condition. The end result of fighting is…more fighting (arguably this essay is part of the fight). Against nameless and faceless medical ethicists. Against whoever decides how many lines of systematic therapy a person can have. Against the FDA edifice and its preening satisfied bureaucrats.

The latency involved means we have to pursue many options at once. If you wait until you have definitive answers, it’s too late. We must pursue multiple concurrent possibilities, because we don’t know what’ll work out. This is itself a resource drain, but, since we can’t get information about what’s available, we’re stuck looping through appointments to try and understand the trial landscape.

Even trying to explain this is hard. “Why didn’t you do x?” people ask, and inevitably we have, requiring further explanation as I try to move them through the idea maze we’ve been traversing. And people within the system don’t recognize how seemingly small problems or requests cascade into new problems. I admit to my resolve wavering. I wrote to friends and family on Apr. 6:

I’ve been thinking about whether to end treatment, or scale it back to whatever is available locally in Phoenix, which is much the same thing, given that only phase 1a dose-finding trials are available. Treatment mainly produces more treatment: more flying, more struggle, more exhaustion, more needle pokes. What I choose may not matter, though, because I did manage to get new CT scans, and the results in the neck are bad. Really bad. I may have chosen the next step wrong; I probably should’ve gotten chemo and let go of Seagen’s PDL1V. I may not even be eligible for PDL1V because of the requirement that my life expectancy be a minimum of three months. 

That was a nadir of frustration, and I was wrestling with some of the challenges I wrote about in “Will things get better? Suicide and the possibility of waiting to find out.” But on April 15 I got the first dose of PDL1V.

There are lessons in this for others going through trials, and their friends and family who may be helping them. One important lesson is, I think, “You are not alone,” and that, in many cases, “You are not the problem.” The system is the problem. I’d love to get it improved.

Completing this essay feels miraculous. On top of the general exhaustion from growing tumors and poor sleep, the PDL1V’s main side effect is fatigue. I didn’t feel it on Apr. 15, when it was infused. The night of Apr. 17, though, I got home around 7:00 p.m. local time and could barely move. Fortunately, Bess had ordered some Ethiopian food and blended it for me. The next day, I did get out of bed, but not much else happened. Brain fog set in. This essay, which I’ve been intermittently working on for weeks, took on the character of climbing Mt. Denali, when in fact it’s just a guy typing at a keyboard. On Saturday, I began replying in earnest to emails that needed attention days prior, and apologizing for unreturned texts. The excuses are real but still excuses.

I’m reading Freeman Dyson’s book Disturbing the Universe (the first half is good; the second, not so much), and found this, about Dyson’s early relationship with Richard Feynman (Surely You’re Joking, Mr. Feynman! is also highly recommended):

In that little [hotel] room, with the rain drumming on the dirty window panes, we talked the night through. Dick talked of his dead wife, of the joy he had had in nursing her and making her last days tolerable, of the tricks they had played together on the Los Alamos security people, of her jokes and her courage. He talked of death with an easy familiarity which can come only to one who has lived with spirit unbroken through the worst that death can do. (59)

“With spirit unbroken:” that is my hope for those who exceed me.

If you’ve gotten this far, consider the Go Fund Me that’s funding ongoing care. In addition, this essay is really for everyone who has encouraged me to keep going, and for everyone who is wrangling, fighting, and struggling with the clinical trial system: you are not alone, and, as I wrote in the body of the essay, the problem is probably not you. If you are looking for more, see also “You Do Not Own This.”


[1] Verification pending.

[2] As my brother observes, two-way APIs have been a thing for decades. The problems I’m writing about are policy problems. The base data is not accurate, and there are no penalties for non-compliance, and no apparent rules around the updating of information for potential patients in clinical trials. Clinicaltrials.gov is surely a product of the same disaster artists behind the original healthcare.gov.

In software, we refer to the backend of an application as the “infrastructure.” The U.S.’s physical infrastructure is crumbling; the same is unfortunately true for its software. We should prioritize solving digital challenges by asking for help from the brilliant minds behind user-centric software. This is a classic problem in data science.

[3] I also edited Bess’s work, and I sometimes wrote down funny, interesting things she’d say, and then give her a potential outline for an essay. Bess is an amazing writer who often struggles to get started or to see the way forward from a blank page. She’s getting better at it than she used to be, but external boosts still help her.

The emotional trial of clinical trials, part 1: It’s like online dating except if you choose wrong you die

Part 1 is mostly about what happened as Bess and I raced against tumor growth to find a new clinical trial that might keep me alive. Part 2 is here, and it is mostly about how this process feels and what could be done differently—and better. If you find this essay useful or interesting, consider the Go Fund Me that’s funding ongoing care.

I thought we were so smart and so well-prepared: Bess and I knew that, if I’m to stay alive, I’d need to swiftly pivot to another clinical trial the moment petosemtamab failed to control the eight squamous cell carcinoma tumors in my neck and lungs. Bess wrote the definitive guide on how to do just that; I’ve written about the extensive work we did between November and January, establishing care at additional hospital systems and even flying out to MD Anderson (MDA) in Houston, to make sure that we’d be ready—just like the French were ready to confront the Germans at the Maginot Line[1] in 1940. In pursuit of that “staying alive” goal, we did so much.[2]

On Mar. 13, we leapt into action, because CT scans showed that the tumors in my neck had grown by 20% since January. We knew that failing to plan is planning to fail, and we’d not made that mistake. Back in November, an oncologist at MDA had been enthusiastic about a Seagen clinical trial of an antibody drug conjugate (ADC) called PDL1V—she cited PDL1V as showing great results in head and neck cancers.[3] Furthermore, Dr. Sacco, my oncologist at UCSD (who dosed me with petosemtamab), had said that UCSD would be getting the Seagen ADC trial in January. Consequently, Bess and I thought we had two good, viable sites for the Seagen trial and felt reassured because of the double coverage. We wouldn’t have to repeat the mad scramble of July and August. We’re pros now, anticipating the pitfalls that made the first search for a trial so trying and so desperate. We also planned for me to get a single dose of chemo to potentially retard tumor growth between trials. We were prepared.

At least, we thought we were prepared.

All of our plans fell apart, and this is the tale of woe of those plans falling apart, and how we tried to maximize the probability of me not dying within a month or two by framing and executing new plans in a fearsome rush against time. Given how fast the cancer has progressed, I may be compromised before a new clinical-trial drug has time to work.

The same week we discovered the petosemtamab had stopped working, we also learned that implementation of the Seagen trial at UCSD had been delayed into mid-April. Unfortunate, we thought, but that’s why we’d readied backup; I messaged MDA in an attempt to get into their Seagen trial. The oncologist I’d met was on vacation, however, and wouldn’t be back until the week of March 25. People go on vacation all the time—wasn’t there someone else I could talk to? I asked if anyone was covering for her, but apparently no one was, and the nurse I corresponded with said I’d have to fly out to see whether MDA might have an appropriate trial, and trial slot.

I was confused, because I’d flown to Houston in November to establish care at MDA to avoid having to scramble in exactly this scenario. Plus, flying is expensive and draining, and I was feeling abysmal. Although I’d been told the previous in-person trip would grant me  future remote telemedicine visits, I couldn’t get an appointment. Given how time sensitive cancer can be, saying: “Wait two weeks, and we’ll see” seems not ideal to me. I learned that the MDA phase 1 trial team was considered a different department than the oncologist which I’d seen, and so they (again) wanted me to fly out for basic screening. Maybe the oncologist I’d seen could act as a liaison to find out if the Seagen trial had available slots worth traveling to MDA for, but she was unreachable.

Bess and I have learned not to wait. The healthcare system often moves slowly, and it’s good to be agentic. Insufficient agency is how people die while waiting for some indifferent bureaucrat to get back to them, or for some other bureaucratic process to spin up before the rapidly dividing cancer cells spin someone down.

We began contacting the oncologists we’d met with during the first search. One oncologist warned us that the Seagen trial was so bad that she’d closed it early, because the ADC didn’t work for long and caused so many side effects. What? We were confused. How could we be getting such different views from the oncologist at MDA versus the oncologist whose hospital had closed the trial early?

Nothing made sense. In our efforts to triangulate (quadrangulate? Octa-angulate? We were talking to a lot of people), we eventually met an oncologist at the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center in Seattle (“Fred Hutch”). But when he referenced the NCT for what we thought of as “the Seagen trial” from him, it turned out to be a different trial than PDL1V. That trial was for “SGNTV-001,” not PDL1V! Bess and I thought we were pursuing one Seagen ADC trial when there were (and are) actually two—or really more than two:

* “SGNTV” is Efficacy and Safety Study of Tisotumab Vedotin for Patients With Solid Tumors (innovaTV 207).

* But PDL1V is “A Study of SGN-PDL1V in Advanced Solid Tumors.”

* I’m jumping ahead, but there is at least one other possible Seagen trial, of sigvotatug vedotin (SGN-B6A), that is recruiting and for which I seem to be qualified.

It turns out that saying “I’m looking for the Seagen head and neck cancer ADC trial” is like saying “I’m looking for food.” What sort of food, in what quantity, for how many people, at what cost? We didn’t realize this, and it took us an embarrassingly time to understand it. We weren’t the only ones who were confused. The PIs at various sites didn’t seem to realize that there were multiple Seagen trials, because no one site had more than a single Seagen trial. Since most PIs don’t refer to their trials by NCT, but by the drug company sponsoring the trial, discussing “The Seagen Trial,” meant that both we and the PIs could have what seemed to be a successful conversation about two different Seagen trials. Both trials are ADC trials, making them even more easily confused.

So the oncologist who’d closed the trial early had been talking about SGNTV—Tisotumab Vedotin. Fred Hutch in Seattle had SGNTV slots. UCSD, we found out, was supposed to open an SGNTV site. MDA had PDL1V but not SGNTV. The oncologist at Fred Hutch also said that SGNTV had successfully shrunk a lot of tumors (good), that it had proved durable in some but not a lot of patients (not as good), and that the side effect profile was pretty bad, with a fair number of patients having to exit the trial because of ocular side effects in particular.

Moreover, both SGNTV and PDL1V have peculiar rules that exclude a lot of patients from clinical trials: patients can have at most two previous systemic lines of therapy in the recurrent/metastatic setting. Last summer and early fall, I received pembrolizumab (Keytruda) and two cycles of chemotherapy, which consisted of carboplatin and paclitaxel. Then I got petosemtamab. The pembro and chemo were received at the same time, and can, if looked at properly, be considered part of the same line of therapy. If I was given SGNTV, I’d have three systemic lines of therapy and be ineligible for PDL1V. And the same in reverse. Sophie’s Choice!

Still, the oncologist at Fred Hutch said that I’m eligible for SGNTV, he had a slot for SGNTV, and he thought SGNTV a reasonable choice. Without knowing whether I might be able to get a PDL1V slot at MDA, or somewhere else, Bess and I debated and elected to go ahead and do SGNTV, risking the ocular and other side effects. But then we heard back from him the next day: “You’re over the limit on lines of therapy.” But the rules on clinicaltrials.gov said “no more than 2,” which is exactly what I’d had. That confused us, so we asked for more detail, and he replied that SGNTV “will not allow more than 1 line of treatment in the metastatic setting, that is why you are not eligible, its independent of how we count the chemo.” Huh? I’d read the clinicaltrials.gov requirements.

Much later, we learned from Dr. Sacco that there are rules upon rules: different “arms” of the SGNTV trial have different eligibility criteria. I was eligible for Arm C, I think, but not most of the other arms. Still, we were interested to see if anyone else interpreted the rules differently, which, as we learned during the first search back in July, happens routinely. We sought SGNTV at sites in Oregon and Stanford. One said the SGNTV is closed, and the other said I’m not eligible due to limits on prior lines of therapy, confirming that updates to the rules don’t have to be updated on ClinicalTrials.gov. Around the same time, someone helped us to learn that the UCSD trial would either not open or not open in time for it to be relevant for me.

So we gave up on SGNTV and wheeled around to seek PDL1V.[4] You may recall that I mentioned wanting to get a single dose of chemo in as a bridge between trials, to prevent the tumors from ballooning or killing me. I didn’t get that chemo dose immediately, however, because a lot of drug companies are bizarrely finicky about things like interpreting the meaning of lines of therapy, and I didn’t want to inadvertently render myself ineligible for good trials. If you’re already exhausted by the barrage of issues and considerations, don’t be discouraged: you’re not alone. I’m exhausted by this process, and for me the wrong answer is fatal. I’ve barely written between Mar. 18 and now because the clinical-trial process, combined with increasing fatigue and pain, have occupied almost all of my time, attention, and energy. I’ve done tiny amounts of Twitter between phone calls and research bouts, but I’ve not managed anything substantive because of my focus being stolen. Bess has been similarly quiet, for similar reasons, and because she’s begun working full-time in the emergency room again.

Anyway, to return to the PDL1V issue, two of the more proximate sites were available under the same umbrella organization, the START Center for Cancer Care: one site in San Antonio, the other in Salt Lake City.[5] Both START sites were incredibly responsive: both nearly immediately confirmed that they would host PDL1V, pre-screened me for eligibility, and started the paperwork process (“the paperwork process” is frustrating but universal, in our experience so far). Neither START site would make me fly out before the required in-person consent. I wouldn’t have to travel until they’d officially reserved and confirmed a spot; START said that making patients fly out just for screening is unnecessarily cruel to patients who are already overwhelmed and suffering: a kindness that did not go unnoticed. We were told that the new arm of PDL1V—the “c” arm—would likely be open in mid-April. I think we learned that sometime in the Mar. 20 – 26 timeframe, but I don’t have the energy now to search through dozens of notes and hundreds of disparate emails for answers that aren’t of fundamental importance to the story.

While this was going on—I’m telling the story somewhat out of order, because maintaining the precise order would make it even more exhaustingly minute than it already is—we were also making appointments with some of the other oncologists and hospital systems. A surprising one is Hackensack Hospital, which is part of Meridian Health. If you have head and neck cancer and live in the northeast, it turns out that there are three essential hospital systems. Two are obvious: Memorial-Sloan Kettering (MSK) in New York City and Dana Farber in Boston, and our experiences with both have been fantastic (not because there is less bureaucracy, but because the doctors we dealt with there were not completely beholden to it). The third is Hackensack, whose quality appears to rest primarily on the capabilities of Dr. Gutierrez, who is invested in choosing a few, but quality, trials, accepts initial telemedicine visits, and seems to understand that speed matters in rapidly progressing diseases. I’d not have guessed Hackensack Hospital would be a great place for head and neck cancer clinical trials, and I would’ve been wrong. From Dr. Gutierrez at Hackensack, we learned about an immunotherapy trial called BGB-A3055 (I didn’t invent the naming nomenclature). BGB-A3055 has no lines-of-treatment restrictions and an arm of it that includes tislelizumab (another pembro-like antibody) is supposed to open in April.

So BGB-A3055 was another possibility, although I think it just recently entered phase 1b and there’s little or no published data on it. Around the time we were learning about BGB-A3055 from Dr. Gutierrez, we also met an oncologist named Dr. Weight at Sarah Cannon in Denver. Dr. Weight told us about a trial for ABBV-400, another ADC that uses a different mechanism than PDL1V, and said that it has also shown some success in some head and neck patients. A downside of all these phase 1b studies is that there’s little published data, which makes comparisons difficult. Oncologists almost never give numbers: “We dosed 10 patients, and the disease control rate in phase 1a was 50%.” Instead, they’ll be vague, but they’ll also indicate why they think their top trials are their top trials. Strangely—or perhaps not strangely—we found more preliminary data was provided to investors by the drug companies in investor reports, than was given to oncologists or patients. We shared slides from investor pitches with oncologists, who were also surprised to see even early spider graphs of data that hadn’t crossed their desk.[6]

Bess and I spent a lot of time debating the sometimes gnomic descriptions of various trials—it’s like listening to people talk about wines: is “oaky” good while “tannic” is bad? “Mineral forward” versus “fruit notes?” I have no idea. We had to decide between oncologists who have seen “some responses” in head and neck, versus the ones who have seen “good responses.” Or the others who have seen “some activity.”

We also had to figure out what might available. BGB-3055 would open in April—around the same time as PDL1V. There was also a site called NEXT in Dallas that was offering the trial. ABBV-400 was immediately available, which was attractive. I found a single slide from a Feb. 29 Pfizer presentation to investors, via a Google search that brought me to a biotech investor’s tweet:

While this was going on, we kept trying to get MDA’s phase 1 clinical trials department to recommend some trials to us, but they wouldn’t. Bess faxed all my information to MDA (healthcare systems use the world’s fax machines and pagers, stuck as they are in the past), with pleas for a return e-mail or phone call, but none came. She also tried leaving messages with the department, and cold e-mailing PIs. No luck. We’ve learned that if someone won’t, or can’t, spend the cash and energy to show up in person, MDA isn’t the right place. This is surprising to me, given how hard flying is for many cancer patients, how expensive cancer is, and given the fact that we’re not living in 1995 and have digital records, but at some point the organization behaves how it behaves and the culture is what it is. We did get some unexpected help from someone at MDA (thank you! you know who you are), who tried to facilitate conversations between us and the right departments, but even that person couldn’t break through the bureaucracy. By the time we finally heard back from the oncologist at MDA, START was already moving me along the qualification process for PDL1V. Plus, the MDA oncologist said I wasn’t eligible for PDL1V. Bess and I were baffled, and might have asked why she thought I wasn’t eligible, but she’d turned off the “reply” feature in MDA’s EHR; it didn’t seem worth starting a new message thread. I was already tracked to start at START.

We decided to focus on PDL1V, the main reason being that, if I got another trial, I’d lose it forever due to the lines-of-therapy limitation; BGB-3055 and ABBV-400 don’t have lines-of-therapy limitations. Secondarily, that Pfizer slide shows three-quarters of patients responding to it, which is good by HNSCC standards. Somewhere in this ordeal, we also asked START if I could do a round of chemo and still qualify for PDL1V. START-San Antonio initially thought the answer was yes: getting a round of the exact same chemo I’d had in summer 2023 should be fine. We made appointments.

START-Utah thought the same based on what was written in their provider guidelines (we’ve learned to double check whenever possible). But Pfizer had scheduled a meeting later in the week to discuss updated guidelines, which mean the guidelines might be different in four days, and the answer obsolete. Bess asked if they could confirm with Seagen’s “medical liaison,” who makes the final eligibility decisions. The tumors in my neck were visibly growing, so I was worried about whether I’d make it to mid-April, and even a delay of a few days could affect my “washout period” and the timing when I could start the trial. But I delayed while waiting for their answer. Pfizer’s decision: Any more chemo will count as a new line of therapy. If we hadn’t known to ask about the meeting, to ask for the medical liaison, to clarify and clarify again, I’d have lost a potential spot. We shelved the plan to get chemo.

In slightly good news, we were told that, if a patient fails the previous line of therapy, there is only a two-week washout period. So I could at least get one more round of petosemtamab, on the off chance that I wasn’t entirely resistant, which Dr. Sacco agreed to arrange. I flew back to San Diego on Mar. 28 for an infusion on Mar. 29. Did that infusion do anything? Probably not, but maybe, and it was something. Bess and I were watching the tumors in my neck grow larger seemingly by the day. At least the petosemtamab had kept the tumors in my lungs more or less in check.


Dr. Sacco also said that many trials will let patients get some spot radiation in an attempt to shrink tumors enough for the patient (me) to survive. We contacted Dr. Patel at Mayo Phoenix about this, and he was like: “Makes sense! Let’s do it.” We told him about the back-and-forth regarding whether I’d actually be eligible, and he’s clearly seen this game played before, because attitude was: “Let’s schedule a simulation so that you can get your mask made and be ready.” Beautiful. And easy! I got the radiation simulation Apr. 4

START told us that Pfizer was holding a kickoff meeting the first week of April. That meeting happened, and we planned to target START-Utah, since Utah is closer to Arizona than San Antonio. There was some kind of unspecific institutional review board (IRB) holdup as well. Ultimately, START said that I could get consented on Apr. 8, so I got a last-minute (meaning: $$$) ticket to Utah for Apr. 7. Unfortunately, START doesn’t have its own CT machine on site, so getting the mandatory CT scans became yet another logistical challenge; I will spare the details, apart from saying that something as simple as getting CT scans locally couldn’t go smoothly, resulting in a seven-hour day to get 60 seconds’ worth of scans, an experience that might seem minor in the grand scheme of suffering, but which showcases the accumulation of seemingly minor problems that  together become crushing. It was exhausting. I was exhausted. I am exhausted. You are probably exhausted just reading this.

I was so exhausted that I considered whether I wanted to terminate treatment, or just do local phase 1a trials, which is nearly equivalent to terminating treatment, because 1a dose-finding trials start with such low concentrations of active medicine that, even if the medication ultimately works, the initial people who get it probably won’t see a response. I was sick. I was tired. I was sick and tired of fighting bureaucracy. Bess and I spent a month continuously wrangling an inefficient, balky medical system. The void felt better than continuing the fight—not the fight against cancer, but the fight against the balkanized clinical-trial system.

Ultimately, I went through with the PDL1V trial, flying to Utah on Apr. 14 and receiving the first dose on Apr. 15. The worst parts of the process were behind me. It’s saying something when the “worst part” isn’t the actual infusion of a largely untested study drug. It isn’t even the fatigue that followed. But I want to spend as much time with Bess as I can, before the curtain falls, as it will likely will soon enough. I worry that I’ll get hit with a pulmonary embolism (PE), stroke, cardiac event, sudden breach of critical blood vessels by tumors—and I’ll feel a sudden pain in my head or neck, then nothing. PDL1V could delay that moment.

In “The Council of Elrond” from The Fellowship of the Ring, Gandalf gives an account of his captivity by the traitorous Saruman, and he says: “May Elrond and the others forgive the length of it.” May you forgive the length of this account.[7] It gives a flavor of my life, but it may also prove educational to patients who are suffering as I have—firstly from cancer and other dread diseases, but secondly from the process of searching for treatment.

Part 2 is here. If you’ve gotten this far, consider the Go Fund Me that’s funding ongoing care.


[1] “Ligne Maginot” in French, according to Wikipedia.

[2] In my case, cancer also chose to take the Belgian route, bypassing our defenses and leading to my personal Dunkirk, except even more disastrous.

[3] ADCs are hot in oncology because results so far show them as being efficacious and with fewer side effects than things like chemotherapy. One description says ADCs “couple two therapies, basically work like guided missiles. A toxic warhead is strapped to a missile that homes in on and drops its payload on a specific tumor.” PDL1V contains a chemo agent called MMAE, which Wikipedia says shows “potency of up to 200 times that of vinblastine.” Seagen is a, or the, leader in ADCs, and Pfizer just bought it for $43 billion, which is a vote for ADCs’ potential.

[4] We were also interested in a small-molecule called NT219, but that drug had completed its phase 1b trial and hasn’t yet moved to phase 2 or approval—so another promising candidate from our previous research was lost to us.

[5] Dr. Sacco also recommended an ADC trial, if possible, because of the amount of research (and money) are indications that that mechanism of action is likely to work.

[6] One reader suggests: “The Hippocratic oath may be incompatible with capitalism if shareholders continue to be prioritized over the researchers who desperately need this data in order to make informed decisions for patients like me.” My view is different: the FDA rules that drive and create this insane process are imposed by government. The drug companies want to sell drugs! I want to take drugs. For fatal diseases like R / M HNSCC, there should be basic safety studies—essentially phase 1a and 1b studies—and from there oncologists should be allowed to prescribe novel therapies.

[7] Gandalf’s captivity is not just physical but also involves psychological dimensions as he deals with isolation, uncertainty, and deception. Cancer patients face emotional and mental torment, dealing not only with their physical illness but also with the psychological burden of managing their treatment process, which is often opaque—and, in my case, unending, or rather ending only in death. Most of the clinical trials see a tiny number of patients get “complete response,” or the apparent elimination of their cancers, but that is so rare that I’m discounting it for myself. 

Moderna mRNA-4157 (V90) news for head and neck cancer patients like me

The best treatment candidate for keeping me alive that I’m aware of is Moderna’s mRNA-4157 personalized cancer vaccine: in very early data from 2020, a 10-person dosing study found that the treatment “shrank tumors in five patients with head and neck cancer (50%), eliminating the tumors in two of those patients.” By recurrent / metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (R / M HNSCC) standards, that’s spectacular, so I perked up on Monday when Moderna announced phased 1b trial results showing that, of 22 patients who were dosed, two-thirds saw at least some “disease control” (meaning that their tumors stayed about the same size or shrank), and two saw their tumors disappear altogether. Pretty much everyone who has R / M HNSCC dies, and R / M HNSCC doesn’t readily respond to treatment, so anything with effectiveness like this is important.

Still, this is not so great: “About 27% of those receiving the vaccine showed an overall response rate, or ORR, with 3.4 months of progression-free survival, or PFS, and 24.6 months of overall survival, or OS.” Having only three and a half extra months without tumor progression is good, but not something like, say, three years. And surviving 24.6 months is nice—the R / M HNSCC median lifespan is just twelve months after diagnosis—but could, again, be longer. Moreover, on a personal level, if I’m going to survive I need access as soon as possible, and, at least as of January, one oncologist who works closely with Moderna told me she’s not aware of any phase 2 trial planned for 2024. That was three months ago, so things might’ve changed since.

I also note this, from the poster presentation: “Part C of this study enrolled patients ¬18 years old with checkpoint inhibitor (CPI)-naive, recurrent / metastatic HPV- HNSCC.” “CPI-naïve” means patients who haven’t receive pembrolizumab (Keytruda), which I have. If the phase 2 trial also requires that I be CPI-naïve, I’ll be out of luck. While phase 2 drugs can sometimes be petitioned for compassionate use if a terminal patient doesn’t qualify for a trial, it’s less likely that a personalized, tumor-specific treatment that requires more intensive preparation than, say, mailing an IV bag of a batch-produced drug, will be acquirable.

There’s another ominous phrase in the presentation, too: “Randomized assessment of the mRNA-4157 + pembrolizumab treatment effect in the advanced disease setting may be warranted.” So there will probably be a placebo group that gets only pembro, which I’ve already failed.

I don’t understand why the results so far aren’t enough for accelerated FDA approval, given the grim prognosis for R / M HNSCC, the limited treatments available, and the safety of mRNA-4157. It could be that Moderna doesn’t have the capacity to mass produce mRNA vaccines yet—the company is building a factory in Massachusetts that won’t come online until 2025—though that article also notes that “In 2018, the company opened a $110 million, 200,000-square-foot mRNA plant in Norwood.” Part of the approval process could I guess be proving not only efficacy, but the ability to mass-produce the vaccine; so Moderna won’t file paperwork for approval until the facility is running, which means that patients like myself, who so desperately need better treatment options now, will likely not be running at all by then, having run out of time.

Right now I’m about to begin a clinical trial of Seagen’s PDL1V antibody drug conjugate, which is good, though it’s unclear whether I’ll get dosed soon enough for PDL1V to work well enough to stop the tumors in my neck from breaching critical structures. Knowing what I know now, I probably should’ve gotten chemo immediately upon getting the tumor-growth news on March 13. But I didn’t for somewhat complex reasons I’ll explain in the next essay—primarily because PDL1V, like many clinical trials, has an arbitrary-seeming limit on the number of “systemic therapies” a patient can have undergone. Cruelly, the clinicaltrials.gov page for PDL1V doesn’t even appear to list a lines-of-therapy limitation, which means patients like me have to call sites to eventually get the news. That should be publicly stated, so as not to waste everyone’s time. But “wasting time” is normal, though maddening, in clinical trials. Ultimately, the time that matters to the sponsoring drug companies is not the patient’s, but the persnickety FDA’s.

Overall, we should be working to have drugs like mRNA-4157 get much, much faster approval, rather than leaving people dead and dying at the gates of oncology clinical trials. Particularly frustrating is the unavailability of mRNA-4157 when considered with the other highly promising, low-side-effect, unavailable drugs in the pipeline: petosemtamab / MCLA-158 (which I just failed), Purple Biotech’s NT219 small molecule, the Seagen (now Pfizer) ADCs like PDL1V.

The real benefit is likely to come by combining therapies with differing mechanisms of action. Getting mRNA-4157 or petosemtamab or PDL1v as monotherapies or duotherapies is nice, but R / M HNSCC has time to adapt to and defeat treatment. Using multiple drugs at once might make a larger number of “complete responses”—cures—conceivable. Instead, playing whack-a-mole with cancer by trying a new drug every time an old drug pressures the cancer to mutate, creates a recursive loop until there are no more drugs to try, or the next drug doesn’t work. It’s possible, though unlikely, that some unforeseen interaction among treatments will prove fatal, but so what? R / M HNSCC is already fatal. I should have the right to try, without the FDA blocking me and thousands of other dying patients. We need faster treatments, not more trials that let the dying languish.

In other HNSCC news, Transgene is moving its personalized vaccine to a phase 2 trial. That vaccine targeted at patients who have an initial surgery and then want to prevent recurrence; in the phase 1 trial, patients “were randomized to one of two treatment arms: one in which patients received repeated injections of the personalized vaccine as an additional adjuvant therapy and another in which they did not receive any additional adjuvant therapy.” No patients who received the vaccine relapsed; three of those who didn’t, did. “Roughly 40 percent of head and neck cancer patients are expected to experience cancer recurrence within two years of surgery and adjuvant therapy, according to Transgene.” If that TG4050 vaccine had been available in October 2022, when I had my initial surgery, I’d probably still have a tongue, be able to work, and look forward to spending years if not decades with Bess. Instead, every day is a fight and every month I’m alive a surprise. The technology exists but we’re slow-walking it to patients, which is insane.

 

Links: Levelling up, the vitality of normalcy, hot ebikes, and more!

* “Levelling Up: What got you here won’t get you there.” Doing the right boring stuff to build skills every day is also important.

* The new and amazing Lectric ONE ebike.

* “The best essay,” a new Paul Graham essay, and one that’s essential for anyone writing online.

* “Democrats Should Be a ‘Pro-Normal’ Party.”

* “Once America’s Hottest Housing Market, Austin Is Running in Reverse” (wsj, $). Building a lot of housing works to reduce prices. Who knew?

* A Mathematician On Creativity, Art, Logic and Language.

* “The Coddling of the American Undergraduate: The infantilizing social control of the university.” Almost too obvious to link to.

* The value of tiny storefronts, despite the way American zoning codes largely ban them.

* Elegy for literary blogs.

* Paul Graham on how to start Google. I note this: “Once you’re good at programming, all the missing software in the world starts to become as obvious as a sticking door to a carpenter.” If you develop writing skills, all the missing writing in the world starts to become obvious, and it’s possible for you (or me) to do it. The Internet makes writing vastly more important and powerful than it was pre-Internet, and yet it feels like many people haven’t properly internalized this.

* “Walking Phoenix: A quick retreat from an expansive hell on earth.” Depressingly consistent with many of my experiences. It’s funny to read this right after Bess published “The dangers of walking include falling in love.”

* Journalism about the Google employees who figured out large-language models and wrote the now-famous paper “Attention Is All You Need.” (wired, $). Perhaps most interesting for the spontaneous meetings that drove the project and its ideas.

Links: The CCP controls a major media source, 3D printing, healthcare innovation, and more!

* Astral Codex Ten (so it’s not the stupidity you may expect from the title): “How Should We Think About Race And ‘Lived Experience’?” The problem is that if we reward real goods, like jobs or tenure or money, based on race or “race,” we incentivize a lot of obsession over that topic, over boundary policing, and so on. As long as there’s money and jobs at stake, we’re going to get bitter fights, as well as silly behavior, on these topics.

* “Why the political clock is ticking for TikTok.” Good. Letting the CCP control and direct a major media channel is unwise.

* “Wharton statistician looks at Hamas’ casualty data and concludes they are likely falsifying to maintain a rolling mean & linear growth — and they don’t know how to avoid making anomalies obvious to Western analysts.” Article here.

* “Why Facebook doesn’t use Git.” Lessons in path dependence.

* 3D printing progress.

* “DEI killed the CHIPS Act.” Interesting and plausible, though I can’t verify whether it’s true. Still, the DEI requirements are an example of the problems with everything-bagel liberalism. I bet China has extensive DEI requirements in its government and companies, and that’s why they’re able to build so fast.

* “BYD to slash EV prices even more with new platform as it looks to crush ICE car sales.” American, European, and Japanese carmakers aren’t ready, though they’ve had a decade of warning. Even in the U.S., electric cars are now as cheap as gas-powered ones (WaPo, $; archive link). Buying a new gas-powered car today is crazy, because within a few years no one will want gas-powered cars.

* “Katie Herzog’s Plan B: In a new book, Katherine Brodsky explains how members of the ‘silenced majority’ find new audiences after enduring episodes of public mobbing.”

* YIMBYism and the need to lower the cost of housing transcends ideological lines. Good. As it should. Sadly, however, Arizona governor Katie Hobbs vetoes housing freedom legislation. Democrats against freedom, low costs, and the middle class.

* Why clinical trials are so expensive.

* “I Make Great Hot Sauce. State Regulations Ensure You’ll Never Taste It.” We should have more ferment in the space between home cooks and outright restaurants.

* “The artisans who are still making clothes in American factories.” I looked at Rancourt & Co.’s shoes, and, while they look impressive, I prefer that the body color of the shoe match the sole color. White soles get dirty too fast for my taste.

* Smarter ways to boost drug innovation.

* Paul Graham’s “The best essay.”